Analytics only. Forecasts are probabilistic estimates, not betting advice or guarantees. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, it has stopped being a game.

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Germany

Power index R=80.02 · J. Musiala, F. Wirtz, K. Havertz

Model run odds

Advance (R32)	100.0%
Reach R16	71.2%
Reach QF	43.9%
Reach SF	22.0%
Reach Final	5.9%
Win title	1.8%

From the Monte-Carlo tournament simulation. Estimates, not guarantees.

Profile

Coach: J. Nagelsmann — Bundesliga '23 (club)

Squad quality65

Attack85

Defence80

Momentum78

Experience80

Fitness85

Climate fit62

Home/diaspora58

Attributes are 0–100 falsifiable indices (display/ranking only — they do not feed the match engine, which uses R).

Analytics only. Forecasts are probabilistic model estimates — not betting advice, tips, or guarantees. The priors are not calibrated on real historical results; published accuracy (Brier/RPS) follows once results accrue. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, it has stopped being a game — free, confidential help is one click away.