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Champions League
Premier League
Euro 2028
Copa América
La Liga
Serie A
AFCON
& more

FIFA World Cup 2026 · USA · Canada · Mexico

48 nations.One trophy.

Honest, falsifiable football intelligence — Dixon–Coles scorelines and Monte-Carlo tournament simulations, not hype. Every number is traceable to the model.

Get started — it's free →See plans

00Days

00Hrs

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48nations

104matches

16stadiums

100ksim runs

See it work

Not claims — output.

A live prediction from the engine right now: the model's two current favourites at a neutral venue. Win/draw/win, the likeliest scorelines, goals and both-teams-to-score — every number traceable to the model.

SpainvsArgentina

Spain33%

Draw30%

Argentina37%

Likeliest scorelines

1–114%

0–112%

0–012%

38%Over 2.5 goals

44%Both teams score

Open the predictor →Run the simulator

Meet your analyst

Ask football.
Get the model.

A grounded assistant that answers from the engine's own numbers — it reaches for the right analytical tool, knows the page you're on, and never invents a stat.

Verified answers — every reply is checked against the model's real output before you see it.
Ask in any language — it answers in yours.
What-if scenarios on Edge & Elite — conditional simulations, not opinions.
An analyst, never a tipster — gambling-harm messages get support first.

Predict the next matchWhat if Mexico win Group A?Who benefits from altitude?Compare two teamsExplain xG

Ask it yourself — free →

SaltaBall assistant

Who are the favourites right now?

The model has Spain out front at 64.6% to lift the trophy, with Argentina next on 14.6% — recomputed as results come in.

Predict Spain vs Argentina at a neutral venue.

Spain win 33%, draw 30%, Argentina 37%. The single likeliest scoreline is 1–1 (14%).

What happens to Canada's chances if they win their group?

I re-ran the simulations where that happens: it locks qualification, but it can actually route them into a tougher knockout path — upgrade to Edge and I'll show you the exact numbers, side by side.

Got a betting tip for me?

I'm an analyst, not a tipster — no betting tips. But I'll happily walk you through the model's probabilities and how confident it is.

What's inside

Intelligence, end to end.

Match predictor

Win / draw / win probabilities and the likeliest scorelines from a Dixon–Coles bivariate-Poisson model — host edge applied automatically on real fixtures.

Tournament simulator

Up to 100,000-run Monte-Carlo simulations of the official bracket — advance, reach-stage and title odds for all 48, conditioned on real results.

Verified AI analyst

Ask in any language. Every answer is checked against the model's real output before it reaches you — no invented teams, no invented numbers, never a tipster.

What-if scenarios

“What if Canada win their group?” — conditional simulations re-examine thousands of tournament runs where it happens. Baseline vs scenario, side by side.

Game Sheets & live scores

Live scores on every plan, and a full stats dashboard for every match after the final whistle — possession, shots, cards, the goal timeline.

Venue intelligence

Real altitude, June heat and climate for all 16 stadiums — joined to the fixtures, so “who benefits at the Azteca?” gets a real answer.

Value & Compare labs

Probability literacy: fair odds, implied probability and edge, plus head-to-head team comparison.

Honest by design

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. We score ourselves against every result — and a built-in safety layer puts people before play.

Ready for kickoff?

Create a free account and explore the model — live scores, predictions and Game Sheets included. Paid plans from €5.99/mo unlock full match analysis, what-if scenarios and the live war room.

Get started →Compare plans