SaltaBallFixtures · Group stage · Sat, 27 Jun 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Panama 0–2 England — match statistics
Panama
Full time · MetLife Stadium, New York / NJ
Match statistics
Panama England
Timeline
| 46' | 🔄 | José Fajardo — Substitution (Panama) |
| 53' | 🟨 | José Fajardo — Yellowcard (Panama) |
| 60' | 🟨 | Jarell Quansah — Yellowcard (England) |
| 62' | ⚽ | Jude Bellingham — Goal (England) · 0-1 |
| 63' | 🔄 | Noni Madueke — Substitution (England) |
| 63' | 🔄 | Djed Spence — Substitution (England) |
| 67' | ⚽ | Harry Kane — Goal (England) · 0-2 |
| 71' | 🔄 | Ismael Díaz — Substitution (Panama) |
| 71' | 🔄 | Eberechi Eze — Substitution (England) |
| 71' | 🔄 | Azarias Londoño — Substitution (Panama) |
| 84' | 🔄 | Jordan Henderson — Substitution (England) |
| 84' | 🔄 | Ollie Watkins — Substitution (England) |
| 84' | 🟨 | Andrés Andrade — Yellowcard (Panama) |
| 88' | 🔄 | Éric Davis — Substitution (Panama) |
| 88' | 🔄 | Alberto Quintero — Substitution (Panama) |
What the model said
Probabilities frozen before kickoff, scored on the 90-minute result (Brier — lower is better).
■ Panama·■ draw·■ England—dimmed = weight placed on outcomes that didn't happen
The engine's pre-match read vs what happened
Most likely score✓
0–2 (15%)
exactly what happened: 0–2
Expected goals
0.60 – 2.03
actual 0 – 2
Over 2.5 goals✓
Under — 51%
2 goals scored → went under
Both teams to score✓
No — 61%
outcome: no
Cards
≈4.2 expected
actual 3
Corners
≈10.2 expected
actual 10
Likeliest scorers (pre-match)
J. Bellingham 55% ⚽ H. Kane 39% ⚽ B. Saka 26% A. Carrasquilla 25%Scored: Jude Bellingham 62' · Harry Kane 67'
Accuracy is the Brier score — the standard measure for probabilities (lower is better): a well-judged draw counts in the model's favour, an over-confident wrong call is penalised. The detailed read is reproduced from the engine's pre-kickoff ratings (deterministic, verified against the scored record). Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees, and never betting advice.
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