SaltaBallFixtures · Group stage · Sun, 28 Jun 2026 · 02:00 UTC
Jordan 1–3 Argentina — match statistics
Jordan
Full time · AT&T Stadium, Dallas
Match statistics
Jordan Argentina
Timeline
| 17' | 🟨 | Mohannad Abu Taha — Yellowcard (Jordan) |
| 19' | ⚽ | Giovani Lo Celso — Goal (Argentina) · 0-1 |
| 31' | ⚽ | Lautaro Martínez — Penalty (Argentina) · 0-2 |
| 46' | 🔄 | Mahmoud Al-Mardi — Substitution (Jordan) |
| 46' | 🔄 | Mousa Tamari — Substitution (Jordan) |
| 55' | ⚽ | Mousa Tamari — Goal (Jordan) · 1-2 |
| 60' | 🔄 | Thiago Almada — Substitution (Argentina) |
| 60' | 🔄 | Lionel Messi — Substitution (Argentina) |
| 61' | 🔄 | Alexis Mac Allister — Substitution (Argentina) |
| 64' | 🟨 | Yazan Al-Arab — Yellowcard (Jordan) |
| 71' | 🔄 | Valentín Barco — Substitution (Argentina) |
| 76' | 🔄 | Amer Jamous — Substitution (Jordan) |
| 80' | ⚽ | Lionel Messi — Goal (Argentina) · 1-3 |
| 82' | 🔄 | José Manuel López — Substitution (Argentina) |
| 90' | 🔄 | Saleem Obaid — Substitution (Jordan) |
| 90' | 🔄 | Mohammad Abu Zrayq — Substitution (Jordan) |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mohammad Abu Zrayq — Yellowcard (Jordan) |
What the model said
Probabilities frozen before kickoff, scored on the 90-minute result (Brier — lower is better).
■ Jordan·■ draw·■ Argentina—dimmed = weight placed on outcomes that didn't happen
The engine's pre-match read vs what happened
Most likely score✗
0–2 (15%)
actual 1–3 was 7th likeliest (6%)
Expected goals
0.41 – 2.94
actual 1 – 3
Over 2.5 goals✓
Over — 65%
4 goals scored → went over
Both teams to score✗
No — 68%
outcome: yes
Cards
≈3.9 expected
actual 3
Corners
≈13.0 expected
actual 8
Likeliest scorers (pre-match)
L. Messi 68% ⚽ J. Álvarez 51% E. Martínez 36% ⚽ Musa Al-Taamari 18%Scored: Giovani Lo Celso 19' · Lautaro Martínez 31' · Mousa Tamari 55' · Lionel Messi 80'
Accuracy is the Brier score — the standard measure for probabilities (lower is better): a well-judged draw counts in the model's favour, an over-confident wrong call is penalised. The detailed read is reproduced from the engine's pre-kickoff ratings (deterministic, verified against the scored record). Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees, and never betting advice.
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