SaltaBallFixtures · Group stage · Sat, 27 Jun 2026 · 00:00 UTC
Cape Verde 0–0 Saudi Arabia — match statistics
Cape Verde
Full time · NRG Stadium, Houston
Match statistics
Cape Verde Saudi Arabia
Timeline
| 4' | 🟨 | Saud Abdulhamid — Yellowcard (Saudi Arabia) |
| 8' | 🟨 | Wagner Pina — Yellowcard (Cape Verde) |
| 33' | 🔄 | Ali bin Mohammed bin Ali Lajami — Substitution (Saudi Arabia) |
| 46' | 🔄 | Musab Al-Juwayr — Substitution (Saudi Arabia) |
| 61' | 🔄 | Nuno Da Costa — Substitution (Cape Verde) |
| 61' | 🔄 | Hélio Varela — Substitution (Cape Verde) |
| 66' | 🔄 | Abdullah Al-Hamdan — Substitution (Saudi Arabia) |
| 66' | 🔄 | Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat — Substitution (Saudi Arabia) |
| 67' | 🟨 | Nasser Al-Dawsari — Yellowcard (Saudi Arabia) |
| 71' | 🔄 | Laros Duarte — Substitution (Cape Verde) |
| 71' | 🔄 | Garry Rodrigues — Substitution (Cape Verde) |
| 82' | 🔄 | Moteb Al-Harbi — Substitution (Saudi Arabia) |
| 90' | 🔄 | Steven Moreira — Substitution (Cape Verde) |
| 90' | 🟨 | Firas Al-Buraikan — Yellowcard (Saudi Arabia) |
What the model said
Probabilities frozen before kickoff, scored on the 90-minute result (Brier — lower is better).
■ Cape Verde·■ draw·■ Saudi Arabia—dimmed = weight placed on outcomes that didn't happen
The engine's pre-match read vs what happened
Most likely score✗
1–1 (14%)
actual 0–0 was 3rd likeliest (12%)
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.04
actual 0 – 0
Over 2.5 goals✓
Under — 62%
0 goals scored → went under
Both teams to score✓
No — 56%
outcome: no
Cards
≈4.9 expected
actual 4
Corners
≈8.6 expected
actual 6
Likeliest scorers (pre-match)
R. Mendes 43% S. Al-Dawsari 39% Bebé 29% F. Al-Brikan 27%Accuracy is the Brier score — the standard measure for probabilities (lower is better): a well-judged draw counts in the model's favour, an over-confident wrong call is penalised. The detailed read is reproduced from the engine's pre-kickoff ratings (deterministic, verified against the scored record). Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees, and never betting advice.
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