SaltaBallFixtures · Group stage · Thu, 25 Jun 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Curaçao 0–2 Ivory Coast — match statistics
Curaçao
Full time · Lincoln Financial, Philadelphia
Match statistics
Curaçao Ivory Coast
Timeline
| 7' | ⚽ | Nicolas Pépé — Goal (Ivory Coast) · 0-1 |
| 35' | 🟨 | Nicolas Pépé — Yellowcard (Ivory Coast) |
| 46' | 🔄 | Christ Inao Oulaï — Substitution (Ivory Coast) |
| 61' | 🔄 | Jeremy Antonisse — Substitution (Curaçao) |
| 64' | ⚽ | Nicolas Pépé — Goal (Ivory Coast) · 0-2 |
| 67' | 🔄 | Oumar Diakité — Substitution (Ivory Coast) |
| 67' | 🔄 | Bazoumana Touré — Substitution (Ivory Coast) |
| 67' | 🔄 | Elye Wahi — Substitution (Ivory Coast) |
| 75' | 🟨 | Juninho Bacuna — Yellowcard (Curaçao) |
| 77' | 🔄 | Gervane Kastaneer — Substitution (Curaçao) |
| 77' | 🔄 | Tyrese Noslin — Substitution (Curaçao) |
| 77' | 🔄 | Jean Michaël Seri — Substitution (Ivory Coast) |
| 83' | 🟨 | Gervane Kastaneer — Yellowcard (Curaçao) |
| 90' | 🔄 | Brandley Kuwas — Substitution (Curaçao) |
| 90' | 🔄 | Shurandy Sambo — Substitution (Curaçao) |
What the model said
Probabilities frozen before kickoff, scored on the 90-minute result (Brier — lower is better).
■ Curaçao·■ draw·■ Ivory Coast—dimmed = weight placed on outcomes that didn't happen
The engine's pre-match read vs what happened
Most likely score✗
0–1 (15%)
actual 0–2 was 2nd likeliest (13%)
Expected goals
0.72 – 1.68
actual 0 – 2
Over 2.5 goals✓
Under — 57%
2 goals scored → went under
Both teams to score✓
No — 58%
outcome: no
Cards
≈4.4 expected
actual 3
Corners
≈9.3 expected
actual 10
Likeliest scorers (pre-match)
S. Haller 56% S. Adingra 40% L. Bacuna 29% T. Chong 19%Scored: Nicolas Pépé 7' · Nicolas Pépé 64'
Accuracy is the Brier score — the standard measure for probabilities (lower is better): a well-judged draw counts in the model's favour, an over-confident wrong call is penalised. The detailed read is reproduced from the engine's pre-kickoff ratings (deterministic, verified against the scored record). Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees, and never betting advice.
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