SaltaBallFixtures · Group stage · Wed, 24 Jun 2026 · 22:00 UTC
Morocco 4–2 Haiti — match statistics
Morocco
Full time · Mercedes-Benz, Atlanta
Match statistics
Morocco Haiti
Timeline
| 10' | ⚽ | Yassine Bounou — Own Goal (Haiti) · 0-1 |
| 39' | ⚽ | Achraf Hakimi — Goal (Morocco) · 1-1 |
| 43' | ⚽ | Wilson Isidor — Goal (Haiti) · 1-2 |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ismael Saibari — Goal (Morocco) · 2-2 |
| 67' | 🔄 | Louicius Deedson — Substitution (Haiti) |
| 67' | 🔄 | Duckens Nazon — Substitution (Haiti) |
| 70' | 🔄 | Azzedine Ounahi — Substitution (Morocco) |
| 70' | 🔄 | Soufiane Rahimi — Substitution (Morocco) |
| 70' | 🔄 | Gessime Yassine — Substitution (Morocco) |
| 78' | ⚽ | Soufiane Rahimi — Goal (Morocco) · 3-2 |
| 79' | 🟨 | Johny Placide — Yellowcard (Haiti) |
| 80' | 🔄 | Carlens Arcus — Substitution (Haiti) |
| 80' | 🔄 | Dominique Celidor Simon — Substitution (Haiti) |
| 80' | 🟨 | Duckens Nazon — Yellowcard (Haiti) |
| 83' | 🔄 | Noussair Mazraoui — Substitution (Morocco) |
| 83' | 🔄 | Samir El Mourabet — Substitution (Morocco) |
| 83' | 🔄 | Frantzdy Pierrot — Substitution (Haiti) |
| 89' | ⚽ | Gessime Yassine — Goal (Morocco) · 4-2 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Josué Casimir — Yellowcard (Haiti) |
What the model said
Probabilities frozen before kickoff, scored on the 90-minute result (Brier — lower is better).
■ Morocco·■ draw·■ Haiti—dimmed = weight placed on outcomes that didn't happen
The engine's pre-match read vs what happened
Most likely score✗
2–0 (15%)
actual 4–2 was 17th likeliest (1%)
Expected goals
2.03 – 0.59
actual 4 – 2
Over 2.5 goals✗
Under — 51%
6 goals scored → went over
Both teams to score✗
No — 61%
outcome: yes
Cards
≈4.2 expected
actual 3
Corners
≈10.2 expected
actual 10
Likeliest scorers (pre-match)
A. Hakimi 55% ⚽ Brahim Díaz 39% B. El Khannouss 26% F. Pierrot 25%Scored: Yassine Bounou (og) 10' · Achraf Hakimi 39' · Wilson Isidor 43' · Ismael Saibari 45' · Soufiane Rahimi 78' · Gessime Yassine 89'
Accuracy is the Brier score — the standard measure for probabilities (lower is better): a well-judged draw counts in the model's favour, an over-confident wrong call is penalised. The detailed read is reproduced from the engine's pre-kickoff ratings (deterministic, verified against the scored record). Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees, and never betting advice.
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