SaltaBallFixtures · Group stage · Tue, 23 Jun 2026 · 03:00 UTC
Jordan 1–2 Algeria — match statistics
Jordan
Full time · Levi's Stadium, San Francisco Bay
Match statistics
Jordan Algeria
Timeline
| 36' | ⚽ | Nizar Al-Rashdan — Goal (Jordan) · 1-0 |
| 44' | 🟨 | Ramiz Zerrouki — Yellowcard (Algeria) |
| 46' | 🔄 | Nadhir Benbouali — Substitution (Algeria) |
| 46' | 🔄 | Nabil Bentaleb — Substitution (Algeria) |
| 64' | 🟨 | Husam Abu Dahab — Yellowcard (Jordan) |
| 69' | ⚽ | Nadhir Benbouali — Goal (Algeria) · 1-1 |
| 76' | 🔄 | Odeh Fakhoury — Substitution (Jordan) |
| 76' | 🔄 | Anis Hadj Moussa — Substitution (Algeria) |
| 82' | ⚽ | Amine Gouiri — Goal (Algeria) · 1-2 |
| 84' | 🔄 | Ali Azaizeh — Substitution (Jordan) |
| 85' | 🔄 | Jaouen Hadjam — Substitution (Algeria) |
| 85' | 🔄 | Mohammad Abu Hasheesh — Substitution (Jordan) |
| 86' | 🔄 | Zineddine Belaid — Substitution (Algeria) |
| 90' | 🔄 | Saleem Obaid — Substitution (Jordan) |
| 90' | 🔄 | Mohammad Abu Zrayq — Substitution (Jordan) |
What the model said
Probabilities frozen before kickoff, scored on the 90-minute result (Brier — lower is better).
■ Jordan·■ draw·■ Algeria—dimmed = weight placed on outcomes that didn't happen
The engine's pre-match read vs what happened
Most likely score✗
1–1 (14%)
actual 1–2 was 6th likeliest (8%)
Expected goals
0.93 – 1.30
actual 1 – 2
Over 2.5 goals✗
Under — 61%
3 goals scored → went over
Both teams to score✗
No — 56%
outcome: yes
Cards
≈4.8 expected
actual 2
Corners
≈8.7 expected
actual 11
Likeliest scorers (pre-match)
R. Mahrez 47% Musa Al-Taamari 36% I. Bennacer 32% Yazan Al-Naimat 24%Scored: Nizar Al-Rashdan 36' · Nadhir Benbouali 69' · Amine Gouiri 82'
Accuracy is the Brier score — the standard measure for probabilities (lower is better): a well-judged draw counts in the model's favour, an over-confident wrong call is penalised. The detailed read is reproduced from the engine's pre-kickoff ratings (deterministic, verified against the scored record). Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees, and never betting advice.
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