SaltaBallFixtures · Group stage · Thu, 18 Jun 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Switzerland 4–1 Bosnia & Herz. — match statistics
Switzerland
Full time · SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles
Match statistics
Switzerland Bosnia & Herz.
Timeline
| 59' | 🟨 | Amar Dedić — Yellowcard (Bosnia & Herz.) |
| 61' | 🟨 | Edin Džeko — Yellowcard (Bosnia & Herz.) |
| 63' | 🔄 | Ivan Basic — Substitution (Bosnia & Herz.) |
| 64' | 🔄 | Esmir Bajraktarevic — Substitution (Bosnia & Herz.) |
| 65' | 🟨 | Nico Elvedi — Yellowcard (Switzerland) |
| 71' | 🔄 | Johan Manzambi — Substitution (Switzerland) |
| 71' | 🔄 | Djibril Sow — Substitution (Switzerland) |
| 71' | 🔄 | Rubén Vargas — Substitution (Switzerland) |
| 74' | ⚽ | Johan Manzambi — Goal (Switzerland) · 1-0 |
| 80' | 🟥 | Tarik Muharemović — Redcard (Bosnia & Herz.) |
| 84' | ⚽ | Rubén Vargas — Goal (Switzerland) · 2-0 |
| 86' | 🔄 | Amir Hadziahmetovic — Substitution (Bosnia & Herz.) |
| 86' | 🔄 | Luca Jaquez — Substitution (Switzerland) |
| 86' | 🔄 | Jovo Lukic — Substitution (Bosnia & Herz.) |
| 89' | 🔄 | Cedric Itten — Substitution (Switzerland) |
| 90' | ⚽ | Johan Manzambi — Goal (Switzerland) · 3-0 |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ermin Mahmic — Goal (Bosnia & Herz.) · 3-1 |
| 90' | ⚽ | Granit Xhaka — Penalty (Switzerland) · 4-1 |
| 90' | 🔄 | Ermin Mahmic — Substitution (Bosnia & Herz.) |
What the model said
Probabilities frozen before kickoff, scored on the 90-minute result (Brier — lower is better).
■ Switzerland·■ draw·■ Bosnia & Herz.—dimmed = weight placed on outcomes that didn't happen
The engine's pre-match read vs what happened
Most likely score✗
1–0 (15%)
actual 4–1 was 12th likeliest (2%)
Expected goals
1.78 – 0.68
actual 4 – 1
Over 2.5 goals✗
Under — 55%
5 goals scored → went over
Both teams to score✗
No — 59%
outcome: yes
Cards
≈4.3 expected
actual 4
Corners
≈9.6 expected
actual 10
Likeliest scorers (pre-match)
G. Xhaka 50% ⚽ M. Akanji 35% E. Džeko 28% D. Ndoye 23%Scored: Johan Manzambi 74' · Rubén Vargas 84' · Johan Manzambi 90' · Ermin Mahmic 90' · Granit Xhaka 90'
Accuracy is the Brier score — the standard measure for probabilities (lower is better): a well-judged draw counts in the model's favour, an over-confident wrong call is penalised. The detailed read is reproduced from the engine's pre-kickoff ratings (deterministic, verified against the scored record). Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees, and never betting advice.
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