SaltaBallFixtures · Group stage · Mon, 15 Jun 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Spain 0–0 Cape Verde — match statistics
Spain
Full time · Mercedes-Benz, Atlanta
Match statistics
Spain Cape Verde
Timeline
| 16' | 🟨 | Sidny Lopes Cabral — Yellowcard (Cape Verde) |
| 61' | 🔄 | Nuno Da Costa — Substitution (Cape Verde) |
| 61' | 🔄 | Deroy Duarte — Substitution (Cape Verde) |
| 61' | 🔄 | Willy Semedo — Substitution (Cape Verde) |
| 71' | 🔄 | Mikel Merino — Substitution (Spain) |
| 71' | 🔄 | Lamine Yamal — Substitution (Spain) |
| 76' | 🔄 | João Paulo — Substitution (Cape Verde) |
| 79' | 🔄 | Telmo Arcanjo — Substitution (Cape Verde) |
| 81' | 🔄 | Dani Olmo — Substitution (Spain) |
| 87' | 🔄 | Nico Williams — Substitution (Spain) |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pedri — Yellowcard (Spain) |
What the model said
Probabilities frozen before kickoff, scored on the 90-minute result (Brier — lower is better).
■ Spain·■ draw·■ Cape Verde—dimmed = weight placed on outcomes that didn't happen
The engine's pre-match read vs what happened
Most likely score✗
2–0 (15%)
actual 0–0 was 10th likeliest (4%)
Expected goals
2.96 – 0.41
actual 0 – 0
Over 2.5 goals✗
Over — 65%
0 goals scored → went under
Both teams to score✓
No — 68%
outcome: no
Cards
≈3.9 expected
actual 2
Corners
≈13.1 expected
actual 12
Likeliest scorers (pre-match)
Lamine Yamal 68% Pedri 51% Nico Williams 36% R. Mendes 18%Accuracy is the Brier score — the standard measure for probabilities (lower is better): a well-judged draw counts in the model's favour, an over-confident wrong call is penalised. The detailed read is reproduced from the engine's pre-kickoff ratings (deterministic, verified against the scored record). Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees, and never betting advice.
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