SaltaBallFixtures · Group stage · Mon, 15 Jun 2026 · 22:00 UTC
Saudi Arabia 1–1 Uruguay — match statistics
Saudi Arabia
Full time · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
Match statistics
Saudi Arabia Uruguay
Timeline
| 41' | ⚽ | Abdulelah Al-Amri — Goal (Saudi Arabia) · 1-0 |
| 44' | 🟨 | Abdulelah Al-Amri — Yellowcard (Saudi Arabia) |
| 46' | 🔄 | Agustín Canobbio — Substitution (Uruguay) |
| 46' | 🔄 | Juan Manuel Sanabria — Substitution (Uruguay) |
| 63' | 🔄 | Nasser Al-Dawsari — Substitution (Saudi Arabia) |
| 72' | 🔄 | Nicolás de la Cruz — Substitution (Uruguay) |
| 80' | ⚽ | Maxi Araújo — Goal (Uruguay) · 1-1 |
| 81' | 🔄 | Nawaf Boushal — Substitution (Saudi Arabia) |
| 81' | 🔄 | Brian Rodríguez — Substitution (Uruguay) |
| 90' | 🔄 | Rodrigo Aguirre — Substitution (Uruguay) |
| 90' | 🔄 | Abdullah Al-Hamdan — Substitution (Saudi Arabia) |
| 90' | 🔄 | Alaa Hejji — Substitution (Saudi Arabia) |
| 90' | 🔄 | Ali bin Mohammed bin Ali Lajami — Substitution (Saudi Arabia) |
What the model said
Probabilities frozen before kickoff, scored on the 90-minute result (Brier — lower is better).
■ Saudi Arabia·■ draw·■ Uruguay—dimmed = weight placed on outcomes that didn't happen
The engine's pre-match read vs what happened
Most likely score✗
0–1 (15%)
actual 1–1 was 3rd likeliest (10%)
Expected goals
0.64 – 1.89
actual 1 – 1
Over 2.5 goals✓
Under — 54%
2 goals scored → went under
Both teams to score✗
No — 60%
outcome: yes
Cards
≈4.3 expected
actual 1
Corners
≈9.8 expected
actual 18
Likeliest scorers (pre-match)
F. Valverde 52% D. Núñez 37% S. Al-Dawsari 27% R. Araújo 25% ⚽Scored: Abdulelah Al-Amri 41' · Maxi Araújo 80'
Accuracy is the Brier score — the standard measure for probabilities (lower is better): a well-judged draw counts in the model's favour, an over-confident wrong call is penalised. The detailed read is reproduced from the engine's pre-kickoff ratings (deterministic, verified against the scored record). Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees, and never betting advice.
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