SaltaBallFixtures · Group stage · Fri, 12 Jun 2026 · 02:00 UTC
South Korea 2–1 Czechia — match statistics
South Korea
Full time · Estadio Akron, Guadalajara
Match statistics
South Korea Czechia
Timeline
| 59' | ⚽ | Ladislav Krejci — Goal (Czechia) · 0-1 |
| 62' | 🔄 | Hee-chan Hwang — Substitution (South Korea) |
| 64' | 🔄 | Tomas Chory — Substitution (Czechia) |
| 64' | 🔄 | Adam Hlozek — Substitution (Czechia) |
| 64' | 🔄 | Michal Sadílek — Substitution (Czechia) |
| 67' | ⚽ | In-beom Hwang — Goal (South Korea) · 1-1 |
| 69' | 🔄 | Ji-sung Eom — Substitution (South Korea) |
| 69' | 🔄 | Hyeon-gyu Oh — Substitution (South Korea) |
| 80' | ⚽ | Hyeon-gyu Oh — Goal (South Korea) · 2-1 |
| 84' | 🔄 | Mojmír Chytil — Substitution (Czechia) |
| 84' | 🔄 | Jin-gyu Kim — Substitution (South Korea) |
| 84' | 🔄 | Jin-seob Park — Substitution (South Korea) |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gi-hyuk Lee — Yellowcard (South Korea) |
What the model said
Probabilities frozen before kickoff, scored on the 90-minute result (Brier — lower is better).
■ South Korea·■ draw·■ Czechia—dimmed = weight placed on outcomes that didn't happen
The engine's pre-match read vs what happened
Most likely score✗
1–0 (14%)
actual 2–1 was 6th likeliest (9%)
Expected goals
1.32 – 0.92
actual 2 – 1
Over 2.5 goals✗
Under — 61%
3 goals scored → went over
Both teams to score✗
No — 56%
outcome: yes
Cards
≈4.8 expected
actual 1
Corners
≈8.7 expected
actual 9
Likeliest scorers (pre-match)
Son Heung-min 40% P. Schick 36% Lee Kang-in 27% A. Hložek 24%Scored: Ladislav Krejci 59' · In-beom Hwang 67' · Hyeon-gyu Oh 80'
Accuracy is the Brier score — the standard measure for probabilities (lower is better): a well-judged draw counts in the model's favour, an over-confident wrong call is penalised. The detailed read is reproduced from the engine's pre-kickoff ratings (deterministic, verified against the scored record). Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees, and never betting advice.
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