SaltaBallFixtures · Group stage · Sat, 27 Jun 2026 · 23:30 UTC
Colombia 0–0 Portugal — match statistics
Colombia
Full time · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
Match statistics
Colombia Portugal
Timeline
| 46' | 🔄 | Diogo Dalot — Substitution (Portugal) |
| 46' | 🔄 | João Neves — Substitution (Portugal) |
| 60' | 🔄 | Richard Ríos — Substitution (Colombia) |
| 60' | 🔄 | Luis Suárez — Substitution (Colombia) |
| 70' | 🔄 | Samú Costa — Substitution (Portugal) |
| 70' | 🔄 | Rafael Leão — Substitution (Portugal) |
| 76' | 🔄 | Kevin Castaño — Substitution (Colombia) |
| 76' | 🔄 | Juan Fernando Quintero — Substitution (Colombia) |
| 86' | 🟨 | Gustavo Puerta — Yellowcard (Colombia) |
| 87' | 🔄 | Daniel Muñoz — Substitution (Colombia) |
| 90' | 🔄 | Matheus Nunes — Substitution (Portugal) |
What the model said
Probabilities frozen before kickoff, scored on the 90-minute result (Brier — lower is better).
■ Colombia·■ draw·■ Portugal—dimmed = weight placed on outcomes that didn't happen
The engine's pre-match read vs what happened
Most likely score✗
1–1 (14%)
actual 0–0 was 3rd likeliest (12%)
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.05
actual 0 – 0
Over 2.5 goals✓
Under — 62%
0 goals scored → went under
Both teams to score✓
No — 56%
outcome: no
Cards
≈5.0 expected
actual 1
Corners
≈8.6 expected
actual 7
Likeliest scorers (pre-match)
L. Díaz 36% C. Ronaldo 34% J. Rodríguez 24% Bruno Fernandes 22%Accuracy is the Brier score — the standard measure for probabilities (lower is better): a well-judged draw counts in the model's favour, an over-confident wrong call is penalised. The detailed read is reproduced from the engine's pre-kickoff ratings (deterministic, verified against the scored record). Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees, and never betting advice.
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