SaltaBallFixtures · Group stage · Sun, 21 Jun 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Spain 4–0 Saudi Arabia — match statistics
Spain
Full time · Mercedes-Benz, Atlanta
Match statistics
Spain Saudi Arabia
Timeline
| 10' | ⚽ | Lamine Yamal — Goal (Spain) · 1-0 |
| 21' | ⚽ | Mikel Oyarzabal — Goal (Spain) · 2-0 |
| 24' | ⚽ | Mikel Oyarzabal — Goal (Spain) · 3-0 |
| 30' | 🟨 | Salem Al-Dawsari — Yellowcard (Saudi Arabia) |
| 46' | 🔄 | Abdullah Al-Hamdan — Substitution (Saudi Arabia) |
| 46' | 🔄 | Mohamed Kanno — Substitution (Saudi Arabia) |
| 46' | 🔄 | Yéremy Pino — Substitution (Spain) |
| 46' | 🔄 | Ferran Torres — Substitution (Spain) |
| 49' | ⚽ | Hassan Tambakti — Own Goal (Spain) · 4-0 |
| 60' | 🔄 | Alaa Hejji — Substitution (Saudi Arabia) |
| 60' | 🔄 | Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat — Substitution (Saudi Arabia) |
| 60' | 🟨 | Mohamed Kanno — Yellowcard (Saudi Arabia) |
| 61' | 🔄 | Mikel Merino — Substitution (Spain) |
| 61' | 🔄 | Nico Williams — Substitution (Spain) |
| 70' | 🔄 | Fabián Ruiz — Substitution (Spain) |
| 90' | 🔄 | Khalid Al-Ghannam — Substitution (Saudi Arabia) |
What the model said
Probabilities frozen before kickoff, scored on the 90-minute result (Brier — lower is better).
■ Spain·■ draw·■ Saudi Arabia—dimmed = weight placed on outcomes that didn't happen
The engine's pre-match read vs what happened
Most likely score✗
2–0 (16%)
actual 4–0 was 4th likeliest (10%)
Expected goals
2.78 – 0.43
actual 4 – 0
Over 2.5 goals✓
Over — 62%
4 goals scored → went over
Both teams to score✓
No — 67%
outcome: no
Cards
≈3.9 expected
actual 2
Corners
≈12.5 expected
actual 7
Likeliest scorers (pre-match)
Lamine Yamal 66% ⚽ Pedri 49% Nico Williams 34% S. Al-Dawsari 19%Scored: Lamine Yamal 10' · Mikel Oyarzabal 21' · Mikel Oyarzabal 24' · Hassan Tambakti (og) 49'
Accuracy is the Brier score — the standard measure for probabilities (lower is better): a well-judged draw counts in the model's favour, an over-confident wrong call is penalised. The detailed read is reproduced from the engine's pre-kickoff ratings (deterministic, verified against the scored record). Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees, and never betting advice.
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