SaltaBallFixtures · Group stage · Wed, 24 Jun 2026 · 22:00 UTC
Scotland 0–3 Brazil — match statistics
Scotland
Full time · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
Match statistics
Scotland Brazil
Timeline
| 7' | ⚽ | Vinicius Junior — Goal (Brazil) · 0-1 |
| 45' | ⚽ | Vinicius Junior — Goal (Brazil) · 0-2 |
| 46' | 🔄 | Kieran Tierney — Substitution (Scotland) |
| 60' | ⚽ | Matheus Cunha — Goal (Brazil) · 0-3 |
| 62' | 🟨 | Danilo — Yellowcard (Brazil) |
| 65' | 🔄 | Fabinho — Substitution (Brazil) |
| 66' | 🔄 | Gabriel Martinelli — Substitution (Brazil) |
| 76' | 🔄 | Neymar — Substitution (Brazil) |
| 82' | 🔄 | Ryan Christie — Substitution (Scotland) |
| 82' | 🔄 | Endrick — Substitution (Brazil) |
| 82' | 🔄 | Anthony Ralston — Substitution (Scotland) |
| 82' | 🔄 | Alex Sandro — Substitution (Brazil) |
| 82' | 🟨 | Fabinho — Yellowcard (Brazil) |
| 89' | 🟨 | Ryan Christie — Yellowcard (Scotland) |
| 90' | 🔄 | Ché Adams — Substitution (Scotland) |
| 90' | 🔄 | Findlay Curtis — Substitution (Scotland) |
What the model said
Probabilities frozen before kickoff, scored on the 90-minute result (Brier — lower is better).
■ Scotland·■ draw·■ Brazil—dimmed = weight placed on outcomes that didn't happen
The engine's pre-match read vs what happened
Most likely score✗
0–1 (15%)
actual 0–3 was 6th likeliest (8%)
Expected goals
0.68 – 1.77
actual 0 – 3
Over 2.5 goals✗
Under — 56%
3 goals scored → went over
Both teams to score✓
No — 59%
outcome: no
Cards
≈4.3 expected
actual 3
Corners
≈9.5 expected
actual 13
Likeliest scorers (pre-match)
Vinícius Jr. 50% Raphinha 35% S. McTominay 28% Rodrygo 23%Scored: Vinicius Junior 7' · Vinicius Junior 45' · Matheus Cunha 60'
Accuracy is the Brier score — the standard measure for probabilities (lower is better): a well-judged draw counts in the model's favour, an over-confident wrong call is penalised. The detailed read is reproduced from the engine's pre-kickoff ratings (deterministic, verified against the scored record). Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees, and never betting advice.
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