SaltaBallFixtures · Group stage · Sat, 13 Jun 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Qatar 1–1 Switzerland — match statistics
Qatar
Full time · Levi's Stadium, San Francisco Bay
Match statistics
Qatar Switzerland
Timeline
| 16' | 🟨 | Mahmoud Abunada — Yellowcard (Qatar) |
| 17' | ⚽ | Breel Embolo — Penalty (Switzerland) · 0-1 |
| 23' | 🟨 | Jassem Gaber — Yellowcard (Qatar) |
| 42' | 🟨 | Denis Zakaria — Yellowcard (Switzerland) |
| 60' | 🔄 | Ahmed Alaaeldin — Substitution (Qatar) |
| 60' | 🔄 | Karim Boudiaf — Substitution (Qatar) |
| 60' | 🔄 | Ahmed Fathi — Substitution (Qatar) |
| 65' | 🔄 | Johan Manzambi — Substitution (Switzerland) |
| 65' | 🔄 | Fabian Rieder — Substitution (Switzerland) |
| 79' | 🔄 | Mohamed Al-Mannai — Substitution (Qatar) |
| 79' | 🔄 | Zeki Amdouni — Substitution (Switzerland) |
| 88' | 🔄 | Hasan Al-Haydos — Substitution (Qatar) |
| 89' | 🔄 | Ardon Jashari — Substitution (Switzerland) |
| 89' | 🔄 | Miro Muheim — Substitution (Switzerland) |
| 90' | ⚽ | Miro Muheim — Own Goal (Qatar) · 1-1 |
What the model said
Probabilities frozen before kickoff, scored on the 90-minute result (Brier — lower is better).
■ Qatar·■ draw·■ Switzerland—dimmed = weight placed on outcomes that didn't happen
The engine's pre-match read vs what happened
Most likely score✗
0–2 (16%)
actual 1–1 was 5th likeliest (8%)
Expected goals
0.53 – 2.26
actual 1 – 1
Over 2.5 goals✗
Over — 53%
2 goals scored → went under
Both teams to score✗
No — 63%
outcome: yes
Cards
≈4.1 expected
actual 3
Corners
≈10.9 expected
actual 13
Likeliest scorers (pre-match)
G. Xhaka 58% M. Akanji 42% D. Ndoye 29% A. Afif 23%Scored: Breel Embolo 17' · Miro Muheim (og) 90'
Accuracy is the Brier score — the standard measure for probabilities (lower is better): a well-judged draw counts in the model's favour, an over-confident wrong call is penalised. The detailed read is reproduced from the engine's pre-kickoff ratings (deterministic, verified against the scored record). Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees, and never betting advice.
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