SaltaBallFixtures · Group stage · Wed, 24 Jun 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Switzerland 2–1 Canada — match statistics
Switzerland
Full time · BC Place, Vancouver
Match statistics
Switzerland Canada
Timeline
| 32' | 🟨 | Cyle Larin — Yellowcard (Canada) |
| 32' | 🟨 | Granit Xhaka — Yellowcard (Switzerland) |
| 46' | ⚽ | Rubén Vargas — Goal (Switzerland) · 1-0 |
| 57' | ⚽ | Johan Manzambi — Goal (Switzerland) · 2-0 |
| 58' | 🔄 | Stephen Eustaquio — Substitution (Canada) |
| 58' | 🔄 | Liam Millar — Substitution (Canada) |
| 58' | 🔄 | Tani Oluwaseyi — Substitution (Canada) |
| 74' | 🔄 | Michel Aebischer — Substitution (Switzerland) |
| 74' | 🔄 | Promise David — Substitution (Canada) |
| 74' | 🔄 | Silvan Widmer — Substitution (Switzerland) |
| 76' | ⚽ | Promise David — Goal (Canada) · 2-1 |
| 80' | 🔄 | Dan Ndoye — Substitution (Switzerland) |
| 83' | 🔄 | Jacob Shaffelburg — Substitution (Canada) |
| 85' | 🔄 | Christian Fassnacht — Substitution (Switzerland) |
| 85' | 🔄 | Cedric Itten — Substitution (Switzerland) |
| 87' | 🟨 | Liam Millar — Yellowcard (Canada) |
What the model said
Probabilities frozen before kickoff, scored on the 90-minute result (Brier — lower is better).
■ Switzerland·■ draw·■ Canada—dimmed = weight placed on outcomes that didn't happen
The engine's pre-match read vs what happened
Most likely score✗
1–1 (13%)
actual 2–1 was 6th likeliest (8%)
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.28
actual 2 – 1
Over 2.5 goals✗
Under — 55%
3 goals scored → went over
Both teams to score✓
Yes — 51%
outcome: yes
Cards
≈5.0 expected
actual 3
Corners
≈9.7 expected
actual 9
Likeliest scorers (pre-match)
A. Davies 39% G. Xhaka 38% J. David 27% ⚽ M. Akanji 25%Scored: Rubén Vargas 46' · Johan Manzambi 57' · Promise David 76'
Accuracy is the Brier score — the standard measure for probabilities (lower is better): a well-judged draw counts in the model's favour, an over-confident wrong call is penalised. The detailed read is reproduced from the engine's pre-kickoff ratings (deterministic, verified against the scored record). Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees, and never betting advice.
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