SaltaBallFixtures · Knockout · Thu, 9 Jul 2026 · 20:00 UTC
France 2–0 Morocco — match statistics
France
Full time · Gillette Stadium, Boston
Match statistics
France Morocco
Timeline
| 28' | ❌ | Kylian Mbappé — Missed Penalty (France) |
| 60' | ⚽ | Kylian Mbappé — Goal (France) · 1-0 |
| 62' | 🔄 | Sofyan Amrabat — Substitution (Morocco) |
| 62' | 🔄 | Soufiane Rahimi — Substitution (Morocco) |
| 63' | 🟨 | Issa Diop — Yellowcard (Morocco) |
| 66' | ⚽ | Ousmane Dembélé — Goal (France) · 2-0 |
| 71' | 🔄 | Warren Zaïre-Emery — Substitution (France) |
| 74' | 🔄 | Zakaria El Ouahdi — Substitution (Morocco) |
| 74' | 🔄 | Gessime Yassine — Substitution (Morocco) |
| 77' | 🔄 | Bradley Barcola — Substitution (France) |
| 77' | 🔄 | Jean-Philippe Mateta — Substitution (France) |
| 85' | 🔄 | Amine Sbaï — Substitution (Morocco) |
| 87' | 🔄 | Malo Gusto — Substitution (France) |
What the model said
Probabilities frozen before kickoff, scored on the 90-minute result (Brier — lower is better).
■ France·■ draw·■ Morocco—dimmed = weight placed on outcomes that didn't happen
The engine's pre-match read vs what happened
Most likely score✗
1–0 (15%)
actual 2–0 was 3rd likeliest (12%)
Expected goals
1.58 – 0.76
actual 2 – 0
Over 2.5 goals✓
Under — 58%
2 goals scored → went under
Both teams to score✓
No — 58%
outcome: no
Cards
≈4.5 expected
actual 1
Corners
≈9.1 expected
actual 10
Likeliest scorers (pre-match)
K. Mbappé 46% ⚽ O. Dembélé 32% ⚽ A. Hakimi 26% A. Tchouaméni 21%Scored: Kylian Mbappé 60' · Ousmane Dembélé 66'
Accuracy is the Brier score — the standard measure for probabilities (lower is better): a well-judged draw counts in the model's favour, an over-confident wrong call is penalised. The detailed read is reproduced from the engine's pre-kickoff ratings (deterministic, verified against the scored record). Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees, and never betting advice.
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