SaltaBallFixtures · Knockout · Sat, 11 Jul 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Norway 1–2 England — match statistics
Norway
Full time · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
Match statistics
Norway England
Timeline
| 36' | ⚽ | Andreas Schjelderup — Goal (Norway) · 1-0 |
| 45' | ⚽ | Jude Bellingham — Goal (England) · 1-1 |
| 46' | 🔄 | Eberechi Eze — Substitution (England) |
| 46' | 🔄 | Bukayo Saka — Substitution (England) |
| 60' | 🔄 | Fredrik Aursnes — Substitution (Norway) |
| 68' | 🔄 | Oscar Bobb — Substitution (Norway) |
| 68' | 🔄 | Antonio Nusa — Substitution (Norway) |
| 71' | 🔄 | Reece James — Substitution (England) |
| 86' | 🔄 | Djed Spence — Substitution (England) |
| 89' | 🔄 | Morgan Rogers — Substitution (England) |
| 90' | 🔄 | Marcus Pedersen — Substitution (Norway) |
| 91' | 🔄 | Leo Østigård — Substitution (Norway) |
| 93' | ⚽ | Jude Bellingham — Goal (England) · 1-2 |
| 106' | 🔄 | Jørgen Strand Larsen — Substitution (Norway) |
| 111' | 🔄 | Dan Burn — Substitution (England) |
| 117' | 🟨 | Kristoffer Ajer — Yellowcard (Norway) |
What the model said
Probabilities frozen before kickoff, scored on the 90-minute result (Brier — lower is better).
■ Norway·■ draw·■ England—dimmed = weight placed on outcomes that didn't happen
The engine's pre-match read vs what happened
Most likely score✗
0–1 (14%)
actual 1–2 was 6th likeliest (9%)
Expected goals
0.88 – 1.37
actual 1 – 2
Over 2.5 goals✗
Under — 61%
3 goals scored → went over
Both teams to score✗
No — 56%
outcome: yes
Cards
≈4.7 expected
actual 1
Corners
≈8.8 expected
actual 11
Likeliest scorers (pre-match)
J. Bellingham 41% ⚽ E. Haaland 35% H. Kane 28% M. Ødegaard 23%Scored: Andreas Schjelderup 36' · Jude Bellingham 45' · Jude Bellingham 93'
Accuracy is the Brier score — the standard measure for probabilities (lower is better): a well-judged draw counts in the model's favour, an over-confident wrong call is penalised. The detailed read is reproduced from the engine's pre-kickoff ratings (deterministic, verified against the scored record). Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees, and never betting advice.
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