SaltaBallFixtures · Knockout · Tue, 30 Jun 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Ivory Coast 1–2 Norway — match statistics
Ivory Coast
Full time · AT&T Stadium, Dallas
Match statistics
Ivory Coast Norway
Timeline
| 39' | ⚽ | Antonio Nusa — Goal (Norway) · 0-1 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Antonio Nusa — Yellowcard (Norway) |
| 60' | 🔄 | Amad Diallo — Substitution (Ivory Coast) |
| 60' | 🔄 | Elye Wahi — Substitution (Ivory Coast) |
| 71' | 🔄 | Oscar Bobb — Substitution (Norway) |
| 71' | 🔄 | Andreas Schjelderup — Substitution (Norway) |
| 74' | ⚽ | Amad Diallo — Goal (Ivory Coast) · 1-1 |
| 83' | 🔄 | Fredrik Aursnes — Substitution (Norway) |
| 86' | ⚽ | Erling Haaland — Goal (Norway) · 1-2 |
| 87' | 🔄 | Oumar Diakité — Substitution (Ivory Coast) |
| 90' | 🔄 | Evann Guessand — Substitution (Ivory Coast) |
| 90' | 🔄 | Bazoumana Touré — Substitution (Ivory Coast) |
What the model said
Probabilities frozen before kickoff, scored on the 90-minute result (Brier — lower is better).
■ Ivory Coast·■ draw·■ Norway—dimmed = weight placed on outcomes that didn't happen
The engine's pre-match read vs what happened
Most likely score✗
0–1 (14%)
actual 1–2 was 5th likeliest (9%)
Expected goals
0.86 – 1.41
actual 1 – 2
Over 2.5 goals✗
Under — 61%
3 goals scored → went over
Both teams to score✗
No — 56%
outcome: yes
Cards
≈4.7 expected
actual 1
Corners
≈8.8 expected
actual 17
Likeliest scorers (pre-match)
E. Haaland 49% ⚽ M. Ødegaard 34% S. Haller 34% S. Adingra 23%Scored: Antonio Nusa 39' · Amad Diallo 74' · Erling Haaland 86'
Accuracy is the Brier score — the standard measure for probabilities (lower is better): a well-judged draw counts in the model's favour, an over-confident wrong call is penalised. The detailed read is reproduced from the engine's pre-kickoff ratings (deterministic, verified against the scored record). Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees, and never betting advice.
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