SaltaBallFixtures · Knockout · Fri, 3 Jul 2026 · 03:00 UTC
Switzerland 2–0 Algeria — match statistics
Switzerland
Full time · BC Place, Vancouver
Match statistics
Switzerland Algeria
Timeline
| 10' | ⚽ | Breel Embolo — Goal (Switzerland) · 1-0 |
| 36' | 🟨 | Farès Chaïbi — Yellowcard (Algeria) |
| 46' | ⚽ | Dan Ndoye — Goal (Switzerland) · 2-0 |
| 58' | 🔄 | Amine Gouiri — Substitution (Algeria) |
| 58' | 🔄 | Jaouen Hadjam — Substitution (Algeria) |
| 71' | 🔄 | Hicham Boudaoui — Substitution (Algeria) |
| 71' | 🔄 | Anis Hadj Moussa — Substitution (Algeria) |
| 71' | 🔄 | Noah Okafor — Substitution (Switzerland) |
| 71' | 🔄 | Fabian Rieder — Substitution (Switzerland) |
| 72' | 🟨 | Hicham Boudaoui — Yellowcard (Algeria) |
| 82' | 🔄 | Adil Boulbina — Substitution (Algeria) |
| 83' | 🔄 | Zeki Amdouni — Substitution (Switzerland) |
| 87' | 🔄 | Michel Aebischer — Substitution (Switzerland) |
| 87' | 🔄 | Silvan Widmer — Substitution (Switzerland) |
What the model said
Probabilities frozen before kickoff, scored on the 90-minute result (Brier — lower is better).
■ Switzerland·■ draw·■ Algeria—dimmed = weight placed on outcomes that didn't happen
The engine's pre-match read vs what happened
Most likely score✗
1–0 (14%)
actual 2–0 was 4th likeliest (10%)
Expected goals
1.40 – 0.86
actual 2 – 0
Over 2.5 goals✓
Under — 61%
2 goals scored → went under
Both teams to score✓
No — 56%
outcome: no
Cards
≈4.7 expected
actual 2
Corners
≈8.8 expected
actual 6
Likeliest scorers (pre-match)
G. Xhaka 42% R. Mahrez 34% M. Akanji 29% I. Bennacer 23%Scored: Breel Embolo 10' · Dan Ndoye 46'
Accuracy is the Brier score — the standard measure for probabilities (lower is better): a well-judged draw counts in the model's favour, an over-confident wrong call is penalised. The detailed read is reproduced from the engine's pre-kickoff ratings (deterministic, verified against the scored record). Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees, and never betting advice.
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