SaltaBallFixtures · Knockout · Fri, 3 Jul 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Australia 1–1 Egypt — match statistics
Australia
Full time · AT&T Stadium, Dallas
Match statistics
Australia Egypt
Timeline
| 1' | • | Harry Souttar — Penalty Shootout Miss (Australia) |
| 2' | • | Mahmoud Saber — Penalty Shootout Goal (Egypt) · 0-1 |
| 3' | • | Jackson Irvine — Penalty Shootout Goal (Australia) · 1-1 |
| 4' | • | Ramy Rabia — Penalty Shootout Goal (Egypt) · 1-2 |
| 5' | • | Awer Mabil — Penalty Shootout Goal (Australia) · 2-2 |
| 6' | • | Mohamed Salah — Penalty Shootout Goal (Egypt) · 2-3 |
| 7' | • | Lucas Herrington — Penalty Shootout Miss (Australia) · 2-3 |
| 8' | • | Hossam Abdelmaguid — Penalty Shootout Goal (Egypt) · 2-4 |
| 13' | ⚽ | Emam Ashour — Goal (Egypt) · 0-1 |
| 46' | 🔄 | Kai Trewin — Substitution (Australia) |
| 55' | ⚽ | Mohamed Hany — Own Goal (Australia) · 1-1 |
| 67' | 🔄 | Hossam Abdelmaguid — Substitution (Egypt) |
| 67' | 🔄 | Haissem Hassan — Substitution (Egypt) |
| 74' | 🔄 | Ajdin Hrustic — Substitution (Australia) |
| 74' | 🔄 | Mohamed Touré — Substitution (Australia) |
| 80' | 🔄 | Mahmoud Trezeguet — Substitution (Egypt) |
| 91' | 🔄 | Paul Okon-Engstler — Substitution (Australia) |
| 91' | 🔄 | Awer Mabil — Substitution (Australia) |
| 105' | 🟨 | Haissem Hassan — Yellowcard (Egypt) |
| 106' | 🔄 | Hamza Abdelkarim — Substitution (Egypt) |
| 119' | 🔄 | Mathew Ryan — Substitution (Australia) |
| 120' | 🔄 | Mahmoud Saber — Substitution (Egypt) |
| 120' | 🟨 | Yasser Ibrahim — Yellowcard (Egypt) |
What the model said
Probabilities frozen before kickoff, scored on the 90-minute result (Brier — lower is better).
■ Australia·■ draw·■ Egypt—dimmed = weight placed on outcomes that didn't happen
The engine's pre-match read vs what happened
Most likely score✓
1–1 (14%)
exactly what happened: 1–1
Expected goals
1.22 – 0.99
actual 1 – 1
Over 2.5 goals✓
Under — 62%
2 goals scored → went under
Both teams to score✗
No — 56%
outcome: yes
Cards
≈4.9 expected
actual 2
Corners
≈8.6 expected
actual 11
Likeliest scorers (pre-match)
J. Irvine 44% M. Salah 38% M. Boyle 30% O. Marmoush 26%Scored: Emam Ashour 13' · Mohamed Hany (og) 55'
Accuracy is the Brier score — the standard measure for probabilities (lower is better): a well-judged draw counts in the model's favour, an over-confident wrong call is penalised. The detailed read is reproduced from the engine's pre-kickoff ratings (deterministic, verified against the scored record). Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees, and never betting advice.
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